Everyone Loves Private 5G. Nobody Makes Money
sebastianbarros.substack.com
Feb. 6, 2026, 4:14 p.m.
While selling private LTE and 5G networks, I visited an automotive manufacturing plant. The COO stopped the line and told me that one minute of downtime costs US$30,000 to US$40,000. Their production depends on synchronized robotics, AGVs, and real-time quality inspection running over an on-site private network. When connectivity is lost, even briefly, the line desynchronizes, and restarting can take minutes. The business impact is immediate and measurable.That is why selling private networks was easy; The ROI conversation was trivial, but the problem was the economics. In 2026, the market counted 6,500 private networks globally with a total value of only US$2.5 billion, or roughly US$350,000 per network per year. For infrastructure that protects tens of millions in industrial value, telecom connectivity captures almost nothing. Private networks clearly work. Telecom business models do not.